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Philippine Politics in 2025: Midterm Elections, Marcos-Duterte Rivalry, and the Struggle for Power

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The year 2025 is a crucial time for Philippine politics. The midterm elections, the rivalry between the Marcos and Duterte families, and issues surrounding government spending are at the center of attention. As Filipinos prepare to vote, the political scene will be marked by power struggles, accountability issues, and demands for better leadership.

Midterm Elections: A Pivotal Moment

The upcoming midterm elections will test the strength of the current administration. Key positions in the Senate, House of Representatives, and local government units are up for grabs. The Marcos and Duterte factions have both fielded candidates, making the race highly competitive. Meanwhile, opposition groups aim to challenge political dynasties and push for reforms in economic policies, social services, and corruption prevention.

Budget Controversy Sparks Public Outrage

One major issue this year is the 2025 national budget, signed by President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. despite strong opposition. Critics argue that it favors pork barrel allocations for allies, giving them an unfair advantage in the elections. Meanwhile, funding for healthcare, education, and social services remains insufficient. These concerns have led to protests, with many demanding a more transparent and fair budget.

Another issue is the alleged misuse of confidential and intelligence funds (CIFs). While Vice President Sara Duterte’s CIFs were removed due to corruption concerns, the Marcos administration retained its discretionary funds. This has raised questions about fairness and transparency. Watchdog groups and opposition figures are now challenging the constitutionality of these budget allocations.

Sara Duterte Faces Impeachment

One of the most talked-about political issues of 2025 is the impeachment case against Vice President Sara Duterte. Three complaints were filed in late 2024, and a fourth is expected soon. The allegations focus on corruption and the misuse of CIFs, sparking debates about whether the case is politically motivated or a legitimate effort to ensure accountability.

Although President Marcos has publicly discouraged impeachment efforts, many believe this is a strategic move to weaken his former ally. His decision to remove Duterte from the National Security Council has further deepened their rift. The impeachment hearings will begin soon, and their outcome could significantly impact the political landscape before the elections.

Rodrigo Duterte and the ICC Investigation

Another pressing issue is the ongoing International Criminal Court (ICC) investigation into former President Rodrigo Duterte’s alleged crimes against humanity. These accusations stem from his war on drugs. While the Marcos administration has stated it will not cooperate with the ICC, it has also hinted at assisting Interpol if an arrest warrant is issued. The case’s progress could further divide Duterte’s supporters and critics, influencing voter sentiment in the upcoming elections.

If the ICC case does not move forward, some lawmakers are considering filing criminal charges against Duterte in the Philippines. Regardless of the approach, the former president remains a key political figure, and any developments in his case could reshape political alliances in the coming months.

Public Sentiment and the Battle for Power

As the election campaign officially begins in February, both the Marcos and Duterte factions will work to secure voter support. However, economic struggles, rising inflation, low wages, and poor public services could shift voter priorities. Many Filipinos are becoming increasingly frustrated with political dynasties and may consider supporting independent and reformist candidates.

The year 2025 is a defining moment for Philippine politics. The election results will not only determine the country’s leadership but also set the stage for the 2028 presidential race. While the rivalry between the Marcoses and Dutertes will dominate the headlines, the bigger question remains: will voters continue to support traditional political elites, or will they demand real change? The answer will soon be revealed.

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